What Stanislav Belkovsky spoke about in the Aleksievich Intellectual Club. The fourth world is already underway

Stanislav Belkovsky, Vladimir Golyshev

Vladimir Putin's business

SPECIAL PUTIN'S THEORY

STANISLAV BELKOVSKY

The giant of liberal-democratic thought, the father of all and every democracy, a 76-year-old person close to the World Government, in short, Zbigniew Brzezinski himself published in Wall street journal the program article "Moscow Mussolini". In the article, the giant, in all seriousness, likened Vladimir Putin to Benito Mussolini, and the malachy Putin regime to the Italian fascist-corporative state of the 1920s-1930s.

According to Comrade Brzezinski, the Russian elite yearns for the great-power imperial status of Russia, perceives the independence of Ukraine and Georgia as an insult, and the resistance of the Chechens (it must be understood, purely peaceful humanitarian-liberal Chechens, which flies will not offend. - S.B.) Russian domination - as a terrorist crime. “Duce has made sure that the trains run on schedule. The fascist regime awakened a sense of national greatness, discipline and extolled myths about a supposedly great past. Likewise, Putin seeks to combine the traditions of the Cheka with the Stalinist style of wartime leadership, with the claims of Russian Orthodoxy for the status of the Third Rome and with Slavophil dreams of a single huge Slavic state ruled from the Kremlin. "

That's what Brzezinski said the other day.

Hmmm. I suspected for a long time that this Harvard cook in the Cold Wars did not understand a damn thing about Russia. But who would have thought that he did not understand so much! With such powerful old men in the role of ideological analysts, it will not be easy for the Washington regional committee to build up the eastern policy of the 21st century, oh, how difficult it is.

It is not clear where and under what tragic circumstances the father of world democracy met the representatives of the current Russian elite, yearning for the imperial status of Russia. As a person who always lives in the country genuinely hated by Brzezinski, I can argue that our today's elite yearn for billions of green-eyed dollars and the sugar sands of mysterious islands, and perceives talks about a nation and empire as a dangerous attempt to take away their time, or even worse! - to dissolve for money. Well, okay, God bless her, with the elite. In the end, the vigorous 76-year-old classic's reasoning about Orthodoxy and the Third Rome is quite at the level of a second-year culinary college student - and only a voluptuous bearded Russian liberal, ready to erect any real enemy of Russia as a marble idol for himself, can take Brzezin's theosophy seriously.

It is impossible not to note several glaring civilizational and cultural absurdities of the "Moscow Mussolini". In the neo-fascist country, traced on the map of the ex-RSFSR by the smoldering imagination of an old technocrat, trains run on schedule - just like the Duce. Dear Comrade Brzezinski! Try to comprehend a simple thing: if you find yourself in a country where something goes on schedule, then this country is definitely not Russia. You were probably simply deceived by the organizers of your propaganda trip. Claim a forfeit after the foam has settled!

However, it is not the intellectual and scientific level of the liberal megacumir that is the subject of our research. And the image of Vladimir Putin, the current president of Russia, who is increasingly being compared with Mussolini, and with Franco, and even with Napoleon I (Bonaparte).

Mussolini, Franco, and even more so Napoleon the First, were people of power. And they loved selflessly the very power. That mystical substance that gives its bearer the true right to decide the fate of these little ones and therefore makes the sovereign like God. This substance is not stored in safe deposit boxes of banks of the first category of reliability. It cannot be measured by weight and cannot be dissolved in water. The incredibly sweet taste of power opens up to the lucky few. And this taste is obtained - on barricades, in dugouts, on irritated battlefields.

The same Benito Mussolini, persistently remembered by Brzezinski in the context of Putin, came to power in 1922, leading the campaign of 26 thousand furious fellow citizens against Rome.

Can you imagine Vladimir Putin at the head of a campaign of many thousands to the capital?

Can we imagine Putin sitting in a dugout with a grenade launcher before a decisive armed throw into the heat of a power struggle?

Finally, does Putin look even in the moderately intelligent role of the leader of the parliamentary opposition?

The obvious answer to all three questions is no.

Putin and Mussolini (as well as Hitler, Franco and further up to A.G. Lukashenko) are shoots of different crops.

If you look closely, you cannot fail to see that our president loves not power, but the attributes of power. Palaces, airplanes, limousines, yachts, guards of honor, Charles Lafitte published in 1815, crispy woodcock in a white viburnum sauce, the words Herculaneum and Corfu, the shadows of Schroeder and Berlusconi. And the delight of the people, of course. And the vertical glow of the virtual rating, on which megatons of ultra-pure Kremlin alcohol are annually written off.

But power as an instrument of a gloomy demiurge, like a field in which a discharge of radiance flares up, is almost unbearable for Putin, like an old hateful mistress from a poor student's years. Almost everyone who sometimes watches national Russian television has learned to see that the burden of power makes the democratically elected president of the Russian Federation literally gray-green. Like a coastal sea in the fragrant region of industrial Odessa.

Let's try again to imagine Vladimir Putin coming out to a crowd of five hundred thousand and throwing at it: "Are you ready to die for me and Russia?" And in response - a wave of delight and a frantic roar.

Have you presented? Does not exceed?

That's the same. And you say: Mussolini, Mussolini.

GENERAL MANAGER

The boring Kremlin talk that the President of the Russian Federation is just a hired manager with a fixed term of the contract is deeply and far from accidental.

As an impartial non-Brzezinian analysis shows, Vladimir Putin does not really consider himself the Master of the Russian Land. And he thinks he is the manager of a large estate.

The estate is very old - 1200 years old at lunchtime. Until recently, it belonged to a noble Russian-German-Georgian family. But the last Russian owner turned out to be an excessively frivolous person, drinking and weak in terms of female charms. Therefore, the estate gradually decayed and was mortgaged to the American millionaire. The last thing the owner did before his retirement departure to Paris for good was to appoint a general manager. Honest, neat, from a poor but decent family of Russified Germans. And our manager was left alone with the estate. The American, the dog, however, sends letters twice a year and once again demands a report. But he does not come personally, does not give exact instructions, and therefore, how to please him at the highest level is not clear. But you have to try, otherwise he will get angry and write three hundred lashes through the court. What a shame it will be for the whole district!

• The trend in Putin's policy is that, like any conservative person, he is endowed with inductive thinking: everything that he did before, he implements today.

• Yes, of course, he will tighten the screws, because he did it before. Since the people love him, he can do whatever he wants. Everything. Why not do this, if it is comfortable for him to do it? Relatively speaking, you wake up in the morning, you want to go to drink freshly squeezed juice - you go and drink freshly squeezed juice. Then suddenly Vitaly Dymarsky meets you, who says: "Why do you need to drink freshly squeezed juice?" You say: “Vitaly Dymarsky, I drink freshly squeezed juice because I like it.” And what will he do next? Will it renew itself further? He will renew himself, but not as president. All my assessments and analysis of Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin are based on psychoanalysis.

The current Putin differs from the young only in his status, because his opportunities have changed, the space in which he operates has changed. But fundamentally - no, nothing has changed. He remains an absolute conservative and inductivist, he is absolutely alien to any reforms. There will be no reforms under Putin. Therefore, the reasoning that he will appoint some kind of prime minister-reformer is absolutely groundless. It is possible to appoint a prime minister-reformer, but the reforms will not be all the same: he will block them himself.

This is all described in the book by Sigmund Freud, written with the help of Sabine Spielrein "Beyond the Pleasure Principle." Vladimir Vladimirovich simply entered the stage of self-destruction. Putin has always won by destroying the systems he served.

Soviet Union. He works in Dresden. He is a simple official in Dresden. He has never worked in the foreign intelligence service. This is nonsense, a hoax, he was not a scout. But he serves faithfully to the Soviet Union. And when this service ends with faith and truth, when supposedly some hordes of Germans shout: "Smash the House of Soviet Culture!" in Dresden - the situation seems to me nonsense, because, having lived for many years in Germany, I know that the Germans will never destroy anything. This is not Pakistan or Bangladesh, no, it was he who invented this whole story to show what a hero he was, that he defended the House of Soviet Culture.

And according to his own version, set forth in his book "A Conversation in the First Person" by Andrey Kolesnikov, Anatoly Simakov and Anatoly Gevorkyan, he moonlights as a private cab driver in a Zaporozhets. Here is what he worked as a private cab driver on the "Zaporozhets", laid a big conflict with Ukraine.

I think he came up with. He didn’t work as a private driver in a Zaporozhets. Well, it doesn't matter, he said it, we will assume that it is true. And what happens. For a couple of years he becomes deputy, then first deputy mayor of St. Petersburg and, in general, a key figure in the Northern capital, he is in charge.

That is, it was the catastrophe of the Soviet Union that pushed him up. Moreover, as we know, the catastrophe of the Soviet Union is the largest geopolitical defeat of the 20th century according to his version.

Farther. Anatoly Sobchak loses the election of the mayor of St. Petersburg. And Vladimir Vladimirovich was the head of Sobchak's headquarters. Putin was not only actually, but also formally responsible for this result. And what, what is the result of the fact that Vladimir Putin lost the choice of Sobchak? He becomes president Russian Federation.

Now Putin has gone to the third circle of self-destruction ...

He destroys the system that raised him, but the KGB, the Cheka and the FSB, which no longer exist in his mind. He is destroying the Russian Federation. He cut it off from the Western funding on which the Russian Federation was built. He disconnected it from Western technologies, which are an immanent condition for the existence of the Russian Federation, because without modern technologies this country cannot exist. Everything.

Only a few countries exist without Western technologies, for example, the DPRK. Yes, there is. Cuba exists. And then Barack Obama practically opened Cuba, and for some reason the showman Donald Trump is trying to quarrel with Cuba.

So, we push it to the next level. Which one? Planetary, space, of course. Vladimir Vladimirovich is going to go beyond the criteria for evaluating his actions. He does not care. Those people who believe that he is doing the right thing are with him. Those people who believe that he is acting incorrectly are not with him.

Right now, for example, the Central Bank is facing a complete pogrom of the banking system and complete withdrawal of assets. Fine! This is exactly what he wants. Therefore, all the hysterical screams on the topic "How so ?!" break on the answer: "Well, that's it." Because this is what Vladimir Vladimirovich wants. He wants to be completely alone. After all, Putin's prime minister must be someone who cannot be president. And it is clear that a woman of Tatar origin (Nabiullina) cannot be president. And in principle, Dmitry Medvedev was not prime minister. No prime minister can be president. Vladimir Vladimirovich does not like this. Of course, this is the cultivation of loneliness. The divorce indicates that Vladimir Putin does not want any visualization of himself, positioning himself as a person connected with bonds family life... And the children, they are from the sister of Alina Kabaeva, we know. And his daughters, who were born in a legal marriage - why does he hide them? Because he is afraid that the pressure on the children will motivate him to take some political decisions that he doesn't want to accept.

He is closest to Nicholas I, of course. No, he doesn't mold himself to anyone. He views himself as a colossal historical failure. He couldn't live. He became president at the age of 47. Here I will be 47 years old in six months. And he would like to walk along the Cote d'Azur and swim somewhere in the Maldives. But he did not succeed. He became a "galley slave." And this "galley slave" is an honest mythology.

When Berezovsky tried to persuade him to become president, according to Berezovsky, he did not want to. And Berezovsky asked: "What do you want then?" He says: "I want to be like you." Yes this is true. Therefore, he was left completely alone. There is no one who would understand him, who would understand how heavy this burden is to be the President of the Russian Federation. Because all his associates, all his friends, they can swim in the warm sea.

But he can't. In doing so, he brought himself to the altar of their interests. And when the sanctions were introduced, he actually said, “Guys, have you earned billions of dollars thanks to me? Please have you prove your loyalty to me. " Maybe he deliberately did not confirm this, but unconsciously it is so. Therefore, it is important for him who is absolutely alone, like him.

As a child, I actively studied Chinese literature. I don't know Chinese, so I studied it in Russian, only translated versions. And my favorite novel was Luo Guanzhong's Three Kingdoms. There, in fact, was the story of the sage Tian Feng. This is the Tian Feng principle that I have been practicing ever since. Because the great sage Tian Feng told his boss, his boss that he didn't need to do something, that is, he gave him correct advice to avoid any problems. Then the boss did the opposite and lost. And he put Tian Feng in jail.

And early in the morning, the jailer came to Tian Feng and said: “Tian Feng, you see, everything turned out as you said. I think now they will release you from prison and put you on the master's mat. " To which Tian Feng said: “No. You don't understand the situation at all. If my advice turned out to be correct, and the boss did not follow him, they would execute me. " He was executed on the same day.

This is the answer to the question whether Putin still has people he can trust. No, Putin still has people who know how to keep silent. The school of silence is great.

This is how Napoleon acted at the end of his career, when he lost everything, although he was a man of absolutely outstanding abilities. Because a great leader does not need to listen to something in which he is wrong. Napoleon Bonaparte is a typical example. He was doing well until he went to Spain, not even to Russia. In 1906, he entered Spain and, after the Cortes, installed his brother Joseph, - an absolutely insignificant, who then, in 1814, traded in order to take the place of Napoleon Bonaparte as emperor, but even Alexander Pavlovich, our emperor, said that with this we will not deal with nothing, - he made him king of Spain. So what happened? He completely lost only because he brought troops into Spain.

Then he sent troops to Russia in 1812. Moreover, I read the correspondence between Talleyrand and Metternich - now radio listeners want to know in what language I read this correspondence - in French, yes, of course, since all of Europe at that time spoke and wrote in French - who said that Alexander had no chance I will not win the war, in three months Napoleon will completely crush ... "I never saw Julien Nalestro live" - ​​remember?

Let's imagine that Putin would answer this question, whether he corresponds to the status of a great leader in terms of his talents. He would say: “here you are undertaking to argue about whether I meet the criteria of a great leader according to some parameters that you set? All these years you have been telling me that my regime will collapse. You told me that my regime would collapse when there was "Nord-Ost", when there was Beslan. You told me that everything would collapse when the West imposed sanctions against me because of the annexation of Crimea, and that this should not be done. Forgive me, please, and what is my rating today, dear Vitaly, Ksenia and Stanislav? And you would not fuck with all your comments about the fact that my regime could collapse. It cannot collapse. Can I get up and go? Because you don't have a single argument to prove that my regime is fragile. You know, I was buried 25 times in 17.5 years of my reign. Just a small remark: here, everyone who buried me 25 times, they are all gone. From Boris Berezovsky to Boris Nemtsov. They are no longer physically, and there are no other people like Vladimir Gusinsky or Mikhail Khodorkovsky politically. And I'm still here guys, I can outlive you all. "

Vladimir Putin has many tools, ranging from controlled media to the Russian Guard. Because, after all, it is no coincidence that such a strengthening of all systems for ensuring the security of the president personally. This cannot be done by a person who is really confident in his own inviolability. He is confident in her on a conscious level, and on an unconscious level, his anxiety is growing.

It is important for Putin that “I will build you as you are, I will highlight you as you are. You have some interests, right? You are all nonentities. You want money or status. I'll prove it to you. "

Here is his famous phrase that “after the death of Mahatma Gandhi, there is no one to talk to,” testifies to this. Do you have a Mahatma Gandhi ID? Can you really go for tanks, for machine guns? Can you really show a certificate that you are a saint? No. You are the same person as me. Therefore, since I am the president, and you are not, I will prove to you that you are insignificant. Ha ha! Yes, I'll prove it to you now. Now I’ll offer you something - some position or money - and you will not refuse. And when you don’t refuse, I will hug you and shake your hand and walk you to the door of my office and say: dear friends, what did you tell me about here? Are you fighting for freedom of speech or something else? No, you are not fighting for this. You are fighting for your insignificant, petty, pathetic interests. And after the death of Mahatma Gandhi, there really is no one to talk to. So close the armored doors of my office on the other side. I will wait for Mahatma Gandhi while he comes.

He loves dogs because they really are sincere. They love their master not for money or for any other good. The more I get to know people, the more I love dogs.

My book "The Business of Vladimir Putin" was published in 2006. And then the progressive public criticized me very much. And the finale of this article - after all, no one reads anything, including Belkovsky - it was written there that Putin is not Mussolini and not Hitler. He is Mobutu Sese Seko. And what is Mobutu Sese Seko in translation? A warrior who sweeps away everything in its path. He swept away everything in his path. He showed that all members of the ruling elite mean nothing. Do you have any values ​​that I cannot understand, says Vladimir Vladimirovich? You have no such values.

What does he really feel when he receives news of the murders of Politkovskaya, Nemtsov, Litvinenko. The payment for any ambition is death - that is how he feels.

Did you want to be great? You were killed. Only a small person cannot be killed. What can I do - me, Putin? As the poet Vsevolod Emelin said, "a corpse was brought to the table." Well, you wanted to be great, Anna Politkovskaya? You wanted to expose me and my entire regime. You should have understood that the payment for this is death? Yes. You got it. Boris Efimovich Nemtsov, did you not understand that with zero chances of becoming president, you have to pay for your ambitions? That's it, no problem. And they would have killed me - I just have a lot of guards, - says Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin, - that's why I create it.

And Berezovsky? Do you believe in suicide? You see, I knew Berezovsky well. Berezovsky was a very depressed person. He was a suicidal man. He is a typical MDP-schnick, that is, manic-depressive psychosis. What the ICD-10 (International Classification of Diseases) calls bipolar personality disorder. Therefore, when he was fascinated by something, when he met with people who interested him, especially with the presidents of other countries and so on, some others, he, in fact, was incredibly cheerful. He exuded a bunch of great ideas. And Alexander Lukashenko, the President of Belarus, said that such a life-loving person could not commit suicide. Alexander Grigorievich is wrong, because he never saw him in a depressed state. And I saw.

We remember how Putin officially reacted to his death. He was asked at a press conference: "What do you think of Berezovsky's death?" Berezovsky wrote two letters to him. I have read these letters. Berezovsky did not show them to me. Why I read, I will not speak now. And these letters are really humiliating for Berezovsky. And Putin said at a press conference that “my assistants suggested that I publish these letters. And then, - said Vladimir Vladimirovich, - the Lord saved me from this step. " He loved Berezovsky. He didn't want to kill him. No, Berezovsky got rid of himself by this insane trial against Abramovich, who lost.

The position of the Boris Yeltsin family, formulated back in 99th year of the XX century, was as follows: Berezovsky should not interfere in any state affairs, because Berezovsky cannot be trusted, he is a person who will blab everything. And it was clear that he would be thrown out, back in 1999. Here Putin's role was minimal. I believe that Putin never wanted to kill Berezovsky, never wanted to get rid of him. All these conversations that there were some conspiracies and attempts to eliminate Boris Abramovich - no, I don't think so, there were none. This whole mythology was created by Berezovsky's former partner Badri Shalvovich Patarkatsishvili, also deceased. Who himself died at the most inopportune moment, because at that moment it was necessary to confirm or not confirm the ownership rights of Berezovsky and Patarkatsishvili to the shares of Metalinvest, which are owned by Alisher Burkhanovich Usmanov. And so, at the moment when it was necessary to confirm and for which Berezovsky and Patarkatsishvili paid $ 500 million, then Patarkatsishvili died along with all the papers that confirmed this case. Mysterious, the story is yes. But Putin - no, no. He always had tender feelings for Berezovsky, in my opinion. And this was manifested in his reaction to the death of Boris Abramovich, who, indeed, hanged himself, because he was left absolutely alone. As Marina Ivanovna Tsvetaeva said, “Blessed is the one who comes next. You are the supreme hour of loneliness! "

Berezovsky died in March 2013. And they called me then, including from "Echo of Moscow", because by that moment I was one of the last friends of Berezovsky.







The abandoned and littered graves of Boris Berezovsky (left) and his mother. BrookwoodCemetery, UnitedKingdom.

We became friends after the Ukrainian revolution, when we met with him on a yacht in Israel, and he said: "Old man, of course, what you did is a kapets." He said a different word, but we are in order to avoid the sanctions of Roskomndazor ... Therefore, from that moment he began to trust me that I could do something, and it was interesting and pleasant for him. Therefore, in fact, we were friends for the last ten years of his life. And in January 2013 he called me and said - and then almost everything was taken away from him - he said: “Old man, let's fly, - and“ old man ”- that was his standard address - we’ll fly to Cape Town. You have never been to Cape Town, but just now, in January, Cape Town has perfect weather. " Berezovsky had a residence permit in South Africa. Because Lord Tim Bell, co-owner of Bell Pottinger at the time, who was engaged in public relations for Berezovsky, he was a close friend of former President Frederico De Klerk, the former President of South Africa. And he organized a residence permit and brought him a case: three countries, located in three countries - in the UK, in Israel, since he was a Jew, and in South Africa. And he called me and said: "Let's go and rest in Cape Town." This is two months before his death.

And then he did not have his own plane. Previously, he had his own plane, then he did not. And I had to be on a regular plane to London, and then we should be on a regular plane to Cape Town. And I do not tolerate flights very well, I said: “Borya, let’s fly to Cape Town yourself, and then when you return from Cape Town to London, I’ll fly and we will discuss everything”. And I don't know if he flew to Cape Town or not.

Therefore, I urge all listeners of Echo of Moscow: if you have a friend who wants you to fly to Cape Town with him, do not refuse, because tomorrow it may be too late.

You know, for many years of studying psychoanalysis, I came to an interesting conclusion, and now I will state it for the first time.

Concerning the Oedipus complex. Freud believed that the Oedipus complex is connected, as it were, with jealousy of the mother, that a person hates his father because he is jealous of his mother. No, I don't think so based on the results of a long study of those incidents that Freud himself cited. The man hates the father because the father gave him life. The basis of the Oedipus complex is aversion to life. Do you know what perinatal syndrome is? Do you ever have such that before your birthday you are sausage and flattened? Many are familiar. Because a person on his birthday leaves the womb, where he is absolutely comfortable, and most importantly, there is a person who is completely responsible for him - this is his mother, he himself is not responsible for anything - in a hostile world. And therefore, a person is born with disgust for the very idea of ​​life. He did not ask to be born, he did not ask to be sent to this vale of suffering in which he is. No. But he forgives his mother, because his mother gave him life at the cost of suffering and torment. And the father - no, he got a child for free.

Here is the Oedipus complex - this is it, this is the rejection of the very idea of ​​life. And therefore a person, one way or another, seeks suicide, he just does not always find it. When a person's life is exhausted, he finds him quickly, like Alexander Sergeevich Pushkin. For some reason, it is generally accepted that Dantes is Pushkin's enemy. No, of course, he is his closest friend: he did what Pushkin wanted. That is, it is a form of suicide. Like Lermontov. Pushkin himself provoked this duel. And, of course, the famous letter, written by someone unknown, he wrote to himself.

Putin follows the path of self-destruction in the same way, because this is the psychology of the unconscious, my friends, and the unconscious is stronger than the conscious. Vladimir Vladimirovich was left completely alone. Putin's vocation is to stop world history. He's trying to do it. He will not succeed, and he will tragically ascend this scaffold.

Our own problem as citizens of Russia is that Putin is the almighty ruler of this country. If he had institutions that limited his power ... Why am I, in fact, a supporter of the constitutional monarchy, because it is the only alternative to an absolute monarchy in this country. "But old age is Rome, which, in return for turuses and wheels, does not require reading from the actor, but serious death." No, again, whether Putin is a believer, only Putin and the Lord God know - these two subjects. Vladimir Putin is simply very fatally disposed, he is too sad. He does not have a single drop of optimism, which should be inherent in a believing person. He wants to bury ... how Samson brought down the temple on himself - this is how he is going to do with Russia.

• Yes, he is a gravedigger, and he will die along with the Motherland. And we will stay because we are optimistic. Based on materials from performances at Echo of Moscow prepared by Valery Lebedev

Now we live in the era of the fourth world war, Russia is building an empire again, but Belarus will no longer become a part of it. These are the main theses of the speech of the Russian publicist Stanislav Belkovsky in Minsk. He became the second guest of Svetlana Aleksievich's intellectual club. Today TUT.BY publishes a video of the lecture, which caused an ambiguous reaction from the invitees and provoked the audience to controversy.

Stanislav Belkovsky and Svetlana Aleksievich

- Stanislav's speeches are always interesting in thought. He is captivated not only by his predictions, which often come true, but also by the brilliance of his mind. This speaks of some kind of authenticity, - introduced the guest Svetlana Alexievich... - We live in a time when the old order of the world order is bursting at the seams. And such people help us answer the questions that we are busy with today.

Attention! You have JavaScript disabled, your browser does not support HTML5, or you have an old version of Adobe Flash Player installed.

The conversation went beyond the declared topic "The fourth World War... The last exit for the postcolonial world ": there was about Obama, and about the Crimea, and about the crashed Tu-154 of the Russian Ministry of Defense. Stanislav Belkovsky made a reservation that he is not a political scientist, but only a publicist. And his point of view is only his own thoughts, and not an unconditional truth.

TUT.BY provides some theses of Belkovsky's speech.

Journalist and political scientist Valery Karbalevich
Historian Valentin Golubev
Andrey Dmitriev, one of the leaders of the civil campaign "Tell the Truth"
Svetlana Aleksievich and political scientist Yuri Drakokhrust
Literary critic and political scientist Alexander Feduta
Historian Nina Stuzhinskaya (left) and ex-chairman of the Belarusian Association of Journalists Zhanna Litvina (right)
Philosopher Vladimir Matskevich
Co-director of the Franco-Belarusian Center for European Studies, employee of the department for cooperation and culture of the French Embassy in Belarus Xavier le Torrivellec

About the war that's going on now

The fourth world war (the third world Stanislav Belkovsky considers the cold war. - approx. TUT.BY) is already underway. This is a war of ambition and a war of psychologies.

In the modern sense, war is not what it was in the twentieth century, when, after the official announcement, the troops of one country are brought into the territory of another. Today it is a hybrid war. It presupposes not so much a formal invasion as a whole operation of measures in this regard.

War today does not imply mass loss of life. This is a kind of system of pinpoint shares. It turned out that Russia can hack websites. This means that the United States cannot resist it. This means that a war on NATO territory is possible. It is already happening.

The purpose of all these promotions is to show: new world Obama, who assumes the victory of soft power over hard power, is shaken by convulsions of the old world. This is a tactical defeat, but not a strategic one.

Why Putin supports Trump

Putin's sympathy for Trump has nothing to do with pragmatic considerations. Because the team of the American president is filled with anti-Russian people. And there is no reason to believe that there will be some kind of reversal towards the Russian Federation. Sympathies are connected with the fact that the victory of the old world over the new one took place.

And this also explains Putin's dislike for Obama, whose values ​​the Kremlin did not understand. The former US president became the creator of a new world, he broke all the old stereotypes. In addition, he formulated positions that determine the vector of development in which ideas and technologies surpass brute force.

About modern Russia

The only country that cannot renounce the Russian Empire is Russia. But I have always called on the Russian people to recognize Russia as a nation state, not an empire.

Any rulers are divided into those who seek the dignity of their own people, and those who cultivate shortcomings. Vladimir Putin belongs to the second type. He does everything so that there is a tendency to slavish worship of power, to the fact that the state is a strict mentor and teacher who slaps on the hands. She disciplines people in this way. So the inhabitants of the country do not believe in themselves, but think that only a leader can achieve something and force everyone to do something.

The problem with Russia is that it has not become the nation-state it should have become. The empire has collapsed, but does not recognize it. When she refuses this, then everything will calm down.

About relations between Belarus and Russia

Belarus will not become part of the Russian world. And Vladimir Putin will not start a direct war with Belarus, because this would lead to the collapse of the Eurasian Union, which is symbolic for the Russian leader. This structure, although a bluff, is proof of the productivity of the integration of the post-Soviet space.

At the same time, Putin does not trust Lukashenko and does not consider him his friend. As well as vice versa.

The very formation of Belarus is possible at a distance from Russia.